He was a ruthless dictator and everyone was sure the President would meet with him. Or were they? As it turns out, hindsight really isn’t 20/20. And this blindness can wreak havoc on our decisions in the future.
(Hindsight Bias, Decision Making)
- Kahneman, Daniel. 2011. Thinking, Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux.
- MacMillan, Margaret. 2007. “‘Nixon and Mao.’” The New York Times, February 25, 2007. https://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/25/books/chapters/0225-1st-macm.html.
- Gavin Cassar and Justin B. Craig. (2009). “An investigation of hindsight bias in nascent venture activity.” Journal of Business Venturing, 24 (2): 99-196.
- Sanna, L. J., Schwarz, N., & Stocker, S. L. (2002). When debiasing backfires: Accessible content and accessibility experiences in debiasing hindsight. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 28(3), 497–502.
- C-Span. FEBRUARY 28, 1972. Reel America. Nixon in China